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Is 30 years too long?

6 Comments 09 January 2012

Is 30 years too long?

By: Sam Reiss

What do you think about 30-year mortgages?

This time last year, Jim Flaherty was lowering the maximum amortization period from 35 years to 30 on high ratio mortgages. This year, there’s talk of further reduction down to 25, if consumer debt continues to climb.

Critics say that if you can’t afford a mortgage over 25 years versus 30, you should be looking at a cheaper property. But a number of financial experts take the view that it isn’t a matter of affordability; it’s a matter of freeing up cash flow for paying down higher-interest debt or buying higher-yielding investments — which makes perfect sense if that’s what you actually do with the money you’re freeing up. It works less well if you’re blowing it on vacations and dining out.

In recent months, many experts such as Arkadi Kuhlmann, CEO of ING, have offered the opinion that 30-year mortgages are simply outdated; that, unlike at the time of their creation in the 1940s, no one stays in a house for 30 years anymore. While locked-in interest rates may provide peace of mind, buyers pay for it with front-loaded interest costs, slow equity build-up and various refinancing fees. The government should provide incentives to pay off mortgages quickly, not drag them out.

But in Canada, is there really any harm? While consumer debt has risen by nearly twice as much in the last decade as in the decade prior, mortgage debt has remained fairly constant. Personal lines of credit have increased to an average of 25% of household debt from about 3% in 1986 — that scares me a lot more than a 30-year mortgage.

Here’s a great observation from David Chilton of Wealthy Barber fame: “People cannot resist lines of credit. And the worst combination in the country is a line of credit and a home renovation — once they renovate one room, the other rooms pale by comparison, so they go on to the next and it’s a never-ending cycle of renovation as they get deeper and deeper in debt. The four most expensive words in the English language are ‘while we’re at it.’ And the four most expensive letters are HGTV.” Last year, the government removed insurance on home equity lines of credit. Maybe they, and not just mortgage rules, need a second look this year.

Canada’s mortgage system has failsafes the US lacks, which helped keep us out of trouble in the first place: almost all Canadian mortgages are “full recourse,” meaning that borrowers are held fully responsible for their mortgage amount even in foreclosure, our fix-interest rate maximum is only five years, mortgage insurance is more common, we don’t get to deduct our mortgage interest at tax time, and our public policy does not encourage home ownership for lower-income or less credit-worthy borrowers, to name a few. Is that enough to keep us out of trouble?

I’m not going to try to tell you what to think about all of this — instead, I’m going to ask you to tell me. Do you think mortgage debt is as much to blame as consumer debt for our economic woes? Would you take a 30-year mortgage? Drop us a note and we’ll offer some of your opinions in a future column.

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  • Juliettemoreira

    Houses have increased in value over the past thirty years. If I bought a house 25 or 30 years ago my house would be worth at least 5-10 times more than what I would have paid back then. If I were to sell that house today I would not owe any mortgage and would have a high rate of return on my investment. I believe people are to blame for consumer debt not mortgages or lines of credit

    • Ascot

      Prices of 25 or 30 year old houses have not appreciated by 5 to 10 times as claimed by Juliettemo, it depends on their location. We don’t all live in Toronto or Vancouver, although it appears most want to. House prices have stagnated in many other areas and have realized, at most, an appreciation of 2 to 4 times over the past 25 to 30 years. Toronto and area has seen a huge increase in population, mostly due to immigration over the past 30 years (allow one immigrant in and he brings in his whole family, cousins and all). This has left the more outlying areas out of the loop and unable to move to the Toronto area, even if they wanted to. This is at the root of  the problem and the Government is to blame, both Federal and Provincial.
       

  • Mat

    The issue is not with the length of the mortgage
    amortization but more in relation to the total debt of the homeowners. As long
    as Mortgage Insurers are able to offer insurance to the banks when a purchaser
    has anything even close to 40% TDS, then we will continue to have a problem.
    The problem is not related to the immediate mortgage payments, it’s related to
    everything around that. The homeowners need to do some renovations to make the
    house look great, this gets financed by a brand new credit card from that store.
    The newly updated property needs new furniture to make it look nice, so that
    gets financed over many years with a brand new credit card from another store,  and so on and so on. Then one day, the
    homeowner loses a job or has no bonus or less overtime and then it hits like a
    ton of brick: they can’t afford this lifestyle at all. They could afford
    the original property with no extras spending, but that is nowhere close to
    their actual situation. There are 3 major issues here: 1- people spend too much
    and don’t plan their finances in advance and don’t put enough money aside for
    rainy days. 2- The mortgage insurers offer too much products for high ratio
    clients and in some cases, the insured mortgage is at a value much higher than
    the actual market value as the main insurer does not appraise most of the
    properties it insures, and the main insurer is directly linked to the Canadian
    Government, so this makes no sense at all. 3- The financial institutions are
    offering way too many credit cards and credit margins way to easily to
    uneducated and ill prepared buyers. This is especially true for first time home
    owners who find themselves with a total debt ratio that leaves no room for
    rainy days. Let’s not forget all the additional spending on elements they
    didn’t have before: house renos, new appliances, condo fees, municipal transfer
    tax, legal fees, sometimes a special assessment or an emergency repair and so
    on. Everything gets put on a credit card and the lending industry says: we’ll
    give them even more credit, the high level of debt is not an issue as the
    property has mortgage insurance! So the issue is not 25 or 30 years, it’s the
    high debt ratios. Can you imagine spending 40% or more of your monthly pay on
    your mortgage, taxes, heating, electricity and minimum balance of your credit
    cards? I can’t. That doesn’t leave a lot of room, especially not to pay off
    your debts. The fact that the Canadian Government allows this to go on is
    simply irresponsible.

    • Juliettemo

      the canadian goverment does not tell people how to live. home ownership is not a right our goverment is trying to make it as affordable as possible because not everyone makes $100,000 anuually. People should understand that the housing prices are based on demand not just some majic numbers that real estate agent make up. With new immigrants and already large popluation our prices are an excellent bargin here in ontario compared  to places like NY and Vancouver. If someone loses their job thats unfortunate and life goes on and so do the bills untill its sold by the bank thats completely irrelevant however to amorizations periods. I agree that high ratios are also a culprit when it comes to affordability however I beileve it’s all about what you save not just about what you earn.

  • Roberto Serrano

    The term in a mortgage loan is one of the variables used to make home ownership more affordable. As property prices increase, so does the term. But why does the price has to be so high relative to incomes?
    Please provide a breakdown of the price of a new condo so we can understand where the money goes.

  • Pingback: Is 30 Years Too Long? | David Stoddard On Toronto Real Estate

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